Where would you be 10 years from now? Yeah, I briefly mentioned about this question in the last post. But I think I want to write some more about its significance. Of course, I was half-joking about the stupidity of the question. The question can be stupid or HALF-stupid depending on the intent. If the intent is to predict where I will be in 10 year time, that would classify as a “full stupid” question. Because anyone’s prediction is as good as a monkey’s, which I will come back to this later. But if the question is about my ambition, then the question is “half stupid”. A plan consists of a big part our plan plus our effort. BUT the other bigger part is external forces beyond our control. That’s why people say “Insya Allah”, “God Willing”, or “If circumstances allow…” (whatever your belief is :D), to acknowledge the uncertainty elements that can ruin, or catapult us to great success, overnight. But let’s get back to prediction. One of the most important, life-changing personal enlightenments of mine is the notion of “prediction.” I used to believe in experts, analysts, futurolog, their analytical skill and their ability to forecast, predict the future, based on their knowledge. Surely they are different from fortune-tellers, tarot card readers, and astrology because they are “scientific”? But then I stumbled across two great books about uncertainty, “Fooled by Randomness” and “The Black Swan”, both by Nicolas […]
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